TMF: Triple Leverage Meets A Treasury Selloff, Momentum Still Broken

Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF receives a Hold rating due to a violent downtrend, F momentum, and a Strong Sell quantitative rating. TMF's 3x leverage amplifies both gains and losses, with volatility decay and tracking error making long-term holding highly risky. Entry is only considered tactical after a daily close above $27.60; current technicals and macro environment remain unfavorable for TMF.

Seeking Alpha • Oct 8, 2026

Bond Vigilantes Smell Blood In The Water

Treasury Secretary Bessent insists on challenging the bond vigilantes, and neither side is backing down. The underlying trends are pointing toward volatility ahead and potentially much more.

Seeking Alpha • Sep 15, 2026

Market Brief: The Quarter's Most Pivotal 48 Hours

On Wednesday, July 29, the FOMC rate decision will be followed by Microsoft and Meta earnings after the close. Thursday begins with the advance estimate of Q2 GDP and the June PCE inflation report before Apple and Amazon report after the bell. CME FedWatch currently implies a 62–65% probability that the Fed holds rates in July, with the remaining probability assigned to a hike.

Seeking Alpha • Jul 28, 2026

The Case For The Leveraged TMF At The Bottom Of The Bond Market Trading Range

The Case For The Leveraged TMF At The Bottom Of The Bond Market Trading Range

Seeking Alpha • Jun 1, 2026

TMF: The TLT Booster You Shouldn't Buy Right Now

The Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF offers leveraged exposure to long-duration treasuries, mirroring TLT but with 3x daily leverage via swaps. TMF's daily leverage reset amplifies both gains and losses, making it a high-risk, short-term trading vehicle rather than a long-term hold. Technical indicators signal persistent volatility and downside pressure in long-duration bonds, with no clear buy signals for the fund at present.

Seeking Alpha • May 19, 2026

These 3 Dividend ETFs Can Double Your Money by 2030

Building wealth through the stock market does not require finding the next explosive growth stock or timing volatile sectors.

24/7 Wall Street • Feb 12, 2026

Rate Cuts Are Going to Supercharge These 3 Dividend ETFs

Pressure is mounting on the Federal Reserve to keep cutting interest rates, and dividend ETFs like Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (NYSEARCA:TMF), iShares Preferred and Income Securities (NASDAQ:PFF), and Schwab US TIPS ETF (NYSEARCA:SCHP) will be the first in line to benefit.

24/7 Wall Street • Jan 12, 2026

Attention Bond Bulls For 2026- Put The Leveraged TMF ETF On Your Radar

The Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF), is recommended as a short-term bullish trading tool amid rising long bond futures. Fed rate cuts, stable inflation, and a likely Fed leadership change in 2026 could catalyze a bond rally toward the 127.22 resistance. Persistent U.S. debt, credit downgrades, and reduced global demand pose risks to long-term rate declines and bond upside.

Seeking Alpha • Dec 9, 2025

TMF: Rate Decisions Increasingly Dependent On Equity Valuations

The Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares offers leveraged exposure to long-term Treasury rates, amplifying both gains and losses. TMF's daily resetting leverage causes value erosion, making it suitable only for short-term speculation on imminent catalysts, not for buy-and-hold investors. Current market uncertainty, data delays, and muted Fed action reduce the appeal of TMF until more significant rate decisions approach in 2026.

Seeking Alpha • Nov 24, 2025

TMF: Leveraged Treasuries Might Work As A Diversification Tool Over 6-12 Months

I expect a U.S. recession soon, making long-term Treasuries attractive as yields typically fall during economic downturns, boosting bond prices. My proprietary trading research indicates a technical bottom is likely in Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF, prompting me to initiate a small position for a speculative trade. I rate TMF a Buy for tactical bond positioning with leverage, but would not hold beyond 12 months due to swap expenses and the risk of foreign Treasury liquidations.

Seeking Alpha • Aug 21, 2025