Some investors bet on big tech, America’s energy crisis, and more

M1 Team
M1 Team August 5, 2022
Young woman in office looking at laptop

The markets made a brief rebound to close July on a positive note, with tech stocks leading the charge. See which stocks make the cut, an exciting new M1 feature, and more.

Also in this edition:

  • Why some investors are betting on tech
  • The new problem with the supply chain
  • Why America’s struggling with energy
Market numbers this week: Dow Jones 32726.82 (+0.61%), NASDAQ: 12,720.58 (+4.59%), S&P 500: 4151.94 (+1.95%), Russell 200: 1,906.46 (+1.78%), Bitcoin: 22461.50 (-6.55%), Ethereum: 1,590.89 (-9.45%)

News

Investors bet on tech 

With the markets trending downwards, many investors are using the dip to double down on technology stocks. According to data from Vanda Research, “purchases by individual investors of a basket of popular tech stocks hit the highest level since at least 2014.” FAANG stocks such as Meta (META), Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), and Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) were all primary contributors to this basket. 

Even with growth slowing for industry leaders like Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN), investors are confident in the resilience of tech companies. Some investors are also turning to riskier areas of the market to bet on tech, including the options market. Top buys for many include market-following funds that investors can use to make powerful bets amid economic uncertainty. 

Bar chart of top net buys among indi idual investors in 2022, daily average (from 0 to 125 million):
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust around $105
Invesco QQQ Trust around $74
Apple around $60
ProShares UltraPro QQQ around $48
AMD around $47
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ around $40
Nvidia around $38
Image courtesy of WSJ 

The unplanned energy issues 

America is in a troubling period of high energy prices and tight supply. How did we get here?  

The U.S. enjoyed a decade of affordable power with the rise of fracking, as well as cheaper wind and solar energy. The increase in renewable energy pushed aside coal and nuclear energy production.  

This positive energy environment came crashing down as a result of the haphazard transition to renewable energy.  

The primary culprit in the transition is supply and demand. Gasoline and oil production have slowed as investors and consumers realize the negative environmental impacts of fossil fuels.

The COVID pandemic only added stress to the situation. Supply snarls made it difficult for green energy developers to complete projects fast enough to offset fossil fuel plant closures. The results are evident this summer as demand surged far ahead of supply, skyrocketing prices. 

Change in price from the end of December from 0 to 175% with natural gas goin from 0 to 120% in July, Diesel going from 0 to 47% in July, WTI crude oil going from 0 to 34% in July, and regular gasoline going from 0 to 31% in July
Image courtesy of WSJ

Solving the crisis will be tough since neither political party planned for it. New legislation aims to address a few issues, but it’s a small part of a much-needed expansive solution — and it could take years for energy producers and regulators to put it into effect. 

Manufacturing slows as inventories rise 

Growing inventories and shrinking spending is softening demand for U.S. manufacturing. While some industries saw growth in July (apparel, minerals, petroleum, and more), others declined (furniture, paper, and more). 

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) tracks and reports on manufacturing activity through the ISM index. The latest report shows easing for the second month in a row to 52.8, the lowest level since June 2020. 

Slowing further
US manufacturing index is at a more than two-year lowas orders decline:
Graph portray current level of PMI which is sitting at 52.8
Image courtesy of Bloomberg

Compared to last year’s peak in March — a time when producers struggled to meet demand during pandemic lockdowns — the index is down almost 11 points.  

Merchandise demand is slowing as spending patterns shift from goods to services. This trend is consistent across the globe, with weakening manufacturing output in Asia and a slowdown in European factory activity. For an in-depth analysis, check out the ISM’s reports

Quick hits 

M1Verse

Understanding the Federal Funds Rate 

Interest rates are a key indicator of an economy’s health and performance. They determine the amount a lender charges a borrower for capital to open businesses, purchase a home or vehicle, or access cash. 

To help you understand why interest rates change, learn how rates are set, how the economy affects the rise or fall, and more >> 

This week in finance history

August 3, 1977 

The TRS-80, one of the earliest affordable personal computers, is released by Tandy Corp. This computer comes at a price point of $599 (almost $3000 today when adjusted for inflation) and provides an entire four kilobytes of memory, uses floppy disks, and a black-and-white monitor. This computer went on to be basically nicknamed the “Trash 80”. 

TRS-80 computer
Image courtesy of Radio Shack 

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